2. On Wednesday, the market broke 3,400 points, and recently fell to 3,230 points, forming a double-top decline of 3,500 points, and then bottomed out at 3,230 points to form a double bottom, and walked out of the narrow range of 3,200 points and 3,500 points.Judging from the current trend, I predict that the market is likely to evolve in the first trend. If the gap is not covered, it is better, indicating that the strong market rally can further open up the upside, cover the gap, and pay attention to support at 3400 points.However, the index itself belongs to the upward trend of shock. After the excessive rise increases the selling, although the short-term market has fallen back, it is difficult to change the upward pattern of shock.
Happily, after the close, it stabilized at least above 3,400 points. Although the midday index fell further, individual stocks still rose by more than 2,800 points, with 115 daily limit stocks. At least not yet after the high opening and falling back, the market's general decline came. The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is also 2 trillion yuan, and the volume exceeds 500 billion yuan.The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.It shows that the higher the market is, the higher the probability of the index going high and low is.
This round of market, if it belongs to the trend of one-day tour, will make up the gap at most tomorrow, and the market can stabilize at 3400 points in the near future, and will still hit 3500 points in the later period.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14